Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034756 0.037277 0.039794 0.042491 0.045295 0.048122 0.051184
2025-09-07 0.029373 0.033487 0.037738 0.042441 0.047482 0.052706 0.058514
2025-09-14 0.025478 0.030487 0.035804 0.041829 0.048428 0.055401 0.063292
2025-09-21 0.022484 0.028086 0.034173 0.041211 0.049059 0.057483 0.067149
2025-09-28 0.019781 0.025756 0.032395 0.040217 0.049082 0.058728 0.069932
2025-10-05 0.018626 0.025077 0.032374 0.041096 0.051104 0.062106 0.074998
2025-10-12 0.017344 0.024143 0.031970 0.041457 0.052469 0.064693 0.079136
2025-10-19 0.015892 0.022906 0.031127 0.041232 0.053100 0.066398 0.082234
2025-10-26 0.015284 0.022649 0.031405 0.042286 0.055178 0.069726 0.087154
2025-11-02 0.014312 0.021877 0.031012 0.042501 0.056241 0.071863 0.090696
2025-11-09 0.013262 0.020945 0.030374 0.042376 0.056868 0.073468 0.093602
2025-11-16 0.012439 0.020257 0.029998 0.042536 0.057804 0.075411 0.096882
2025-11-23 0.011401 0.019286 0.029296 0.042351 0.058410 0.077075 0.099980
2025-11-30 0.010434 0.018376 0.028653 0.042241 0.059127 0.078904 0.103327
2025-12-07 0.009347 0.017227 0.027647 0.041626 0.059190 0.079930 0.105708
2025-12-14 0.008358 0.016149 0.026677 0.041010 0.059211 0.080874 0.107969
2025-12-21 0.007324 0.014928 0.025456 0.040019 0.058724 0.081173 0.109433
2025-12-28 0.007023 0.014781 0.025680 0.040896 0.060566 0.084286 0.114255
2026-01-04 0.006573 0.014376 0.025524 0.041255 0.061744 0.086585 0.118099
2026-01-11 0.005974 0.013692 0.024948 0.041031 0.062163 0.087940 0.120799
2026-01-18 0.005803 0.013688 0.025327 0.042082 0.064209 0.091297 0.125921
2026-01-25 0.005401 0.013273 0.025097 0.042296 0.065169 0.093310 0.129413
2026-02-01 0.004934 0.012714 0.024633 0.042172 0.065677 0.094752 0.132205